Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.002015 0.002140 0.002269 0.002413 0.002568 0.002732 0.002919
2025-05-04 0.001873 0.002053 0.002248 0.002475 0.002733 0.003018 0.003359
2025-05-11 0.001786 0.002007 0.002254 0.002552 0.002904 0.003309 0.003814
2025-05-18 0.001691 0.001938 0.002221 0.002573 0.003001 0.003511 0.004171
2025-05-25 0.001577 0.001836 0.002139 0.002524 0.003005 0.003593 0.004380
2025-06-01 0.001493 0.001762 0.002083 0.002498 0.003030 0.003698 0.004617
2025-06-08 0.001440 0.001722 0.002064 0.002516 0.003107 0.003868 0.004946
2025-06-15 0.001375 0.001662 0.002016 0.002491 0.003125 0.003958 0.005170
2025-06-22 0.001320 0.001612 0.001977 0.002474 0.003150 0.004057 0.005409
2025-06-29 0.001267 0.001562 0.001935 0.002450 0.003163 0.004138 0.005623
2025-07-06 0.001215 0.001510 0.001887 0.002415 0.003156 0.004189 0.005796
2025-07-13 0.001153 0.001442 0.001815 0.002345 0.003096 0.004159 0.005843
2025-07-20 0.001126 0.001424 0.001813 0.002373 0.003185 0.004359 0.006274
2025-07-27 0.001110 0.001417 0.001826 0.002426 0.003312 0.004626 0.006835
2025-08-03 0.001101 0.001422 0.001854 0.002499 0.003472 0.004954 0.007529
2025-08-10 0.001075 0.001401 0.001845 0.002518 0.003552 0.005162 0.008039
2025-08-17 0.001030 0.001351 0.001793 0.002470 0.003526 0.005196 0.008248
2025-08-24 0.000995 0.001314 0.001758 0.002445 0.003533 0.005284 0.008559
2025-08-31 0.000975 0.001297 0.001751 0.002463 0.003607 0.005488 0.009102
2025-09-07 0.000944 0.001264 0.001718 0.002438 0.003612 0.005573 0.009427
2025-09-14 0.000917 0.001236 0.001691 0.002422 0.003628 0.005679 0.009801
2025-09-21 0.000890 0.001206 0.001661 0.002399 0.003631 0.005761 0.010135
2025-09-28 0.000862 0.001173 0.001625 0.002364 0.003614 0.005803 0.010391